Ignacio Buse vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Aguilar has a slightly lower win percentage on their second serve (42.63%) compared to Buse (44.32%). Could this impact the match outcome? It might, as second serve performance is a strong predictor of match results.
• In recent return games, Aguilar excels by winning 50.15% of opponents' second serve points versus Buse's 45.51%. Aguilar also outperforms in first serve returns with 31.92% compared to Buse's 27.17%.
• When facing breakpoints, Buse has a higher success rate, saving 55.53% of them, whereas Aguilar saves 51.9%.
• Over the past year, Aguilar has been more successful with a 70.51% match win rate, whereas Buse stands at 59.15%.
• Both players have their best win percentages on clay, with Buse slightly edging out Aguilar (62% vs. 61%).
• In terms of event level, Aguilar slightly leads with a 64% win rate in Challengers/ITF > $10K events, while Buse follows with 60.78%.
• In their only head-to-head encounter, Buse defeated Aguilar in straight sets on clay, hinting at Buse's potential psychological edge.
• Notably, both players have played against rivals of different average ranks, with Aguilar's opponents ranked 351.19 on average, and Buse's at 211.17.
• If the match progresses to a deciding set, Aguilar's 67% win rate in such situations could be advantageous over Buse's 50% success rate.
• Finally, recent breakpoint conversion rates are nearly identical, with Aguilar at 32.21% and Buse at 31.85%, indicating similar break point opportunities.

Editorial Prediction (September 5, 2025, UTC):

Buse has shown a consistent edge in their recent head-to-head victory over Aguilar, particularly on clay, their preferred surface. This past success provides a psychological advantage as they enter the match.

While Aguilar demonstrates stronger first and second serve return percentages, Buse's ability to save breakpoints effectively levels the playing field. Moreover, Buse has faced tougher competition, potentially preparing them better for this contest.

Aguilar's track record in deciding sets is a notable strength and could sway outcomes if the match extends into a final set. However, Buse's overall performance against higher-ranked opponents suggests readiness for the challenge.

With balanced strengths and previous success, Ignacio Buse is slightly favored to win the upcoming match against Aguilar based on current form and historical data.